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·Florida GOP primary — Aug 18, 2026·Republicans only · closed primary·Governor · Senate · U.S. House·Polls · prediction markets · vote counts·Every number linked to a source·Early voting under way in many counties·Click any race or candidate for details·Florida GOP primary — Aug 18, 2026·Republicans only · closed primary·Governor · Senate · U.S. House·Polls · prediction markets · vote counts·Every number linked to a source·Early voting under way in many counties·Click any race or candidate for details
Red Until Dead
Florida · Republican primaries · Tue, Aug 18, 2026

Red Until Dead

Your clear home for Florida Republican nominations — who's running, what the polls say, what markets expect, and where every number comes from. Polls, odds, and markets refresh together about every minute.

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Countdown to primary night

Polls close 7:00 PM ET

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Why this date matters

Top of the field

Governor

Open seat — Gov. Ron DeSantis is term-limited. Winner is the Republican nominee for November 3, 2026. Eleven Republicans qualified. Byron Donalds leads public polls and prediction markets.

How ranking works

Multi-aggregator average · as of 2026-08-08

Individual polls

FiftyPlusOne Average
through Aug 5–8, 2026
50+1 · 2026-08-08
RealClearPolitics Average
May 13 – July 29, 2026
RCP · 2026-08-06
David J Wolfson
July 28–29, 2026 · n=988 LV · MoE ±3%
Sponsor: Collins campaign (internal)
Wikipedia · 2026-07-29
Quantus Insights (R)
July 27–29, 2026 · n=635 LV · MoE ±4.1%
Wikipedia · 2026-07-29
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
July 14–16, 2026 · n=400 LV
Sponsor: Donalds campaign (internal)
Wikipedia · 2026-07-16
Cygnal (R)
July 12–13, 2026 · n=500 LV · MoE ±4.4%
Wikipedia · 2026-07-13

Prediction market odds?

Live
Polymarket · 2026-08-09
Byron Donalds98.3%
James Fishback1.1%
Jay Collins<1%
Wilton Simpson<1%
Casey DeSantis<1%
Jimmy Patronis<1%
Matt Gaetz<1%

Not a poll and not a vote. Markets resolve to the official primary winner. Site refresh cycle: about every minute.

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