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·Florida GOP primary — Aug 18, 2026·Republicans only · closed primary·Governor · Senate · U.S. House·Polls · prediction markets · vote counts·Every number linked to a source·Early voting under way in many counties·Click any race or candidate for details·Florida GOP primary — Aug 18, 2026·Republicans only · closed primary·Governor · Senate · U.S. House·Polls · prediction markets · vote counts·Every number linked to a source·Early voting under way in many counties·Click any race or candidate for details
Live board · Florida Republican primary

Florida GOP primary live board

Polls, markets, and status refresh together about every minute. Click any race for full odds or the reason numbers aren't listed yet.

Data cycle: ~1 min·Updated Syncing…·Next
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RaceFrontrunnerPollMarketVotesOdds status
Governor
Statewide · 11 candidates
Photo of Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds
46.6%98.3%PendingLive odds
U.S. Senate
Statewide · 4 candidates
Photo of Ashley B. Moody
Ashley B. Moody
PendingNo public prediction market
FL-01
Panhandle · 3 candidates
Photo of Jimmy Patronis
Jimmy Patronis
PendingNo prediction market for thi
FL-02
North Florida · 8 candidates
Photo of Keith Gross
Keith Gross
PendingNo prediction market for thi
FL-05
North Florida · 2 candidates
Photo of John Rutherford
John Rutherford
PendingNo prediction market for thi
FL-06
Central Florida · 5 candidates
Photo of Randy Fine
Randy Fine
PendingNo prediction market for thi
FL-07
Central Florida · 4 candidates
Photo of Cory Mills
Cory Mills
PendingNo prediction market for thi
FL-09
Central Florida · 7 candidates
Photo of Ben Butler
Ben Butler
PendingNo prediction market for thi
FL-11
Central Florida · 5 candidates
Photo of Carey Baker
Carey Baker
PendingNo prediction market for thi
FL-14
Tampa Bay · 8 candidates
Photo of Mike Beltran
Mike Beltran
PendingNo prediction market for thi

Multi-aggregator average · as of 2026-08-08

Individual polls

FiftyPlusOne Average
through Aug 5–8, 2026
50+1 · 2026-08-08
RealClearPolitics Average
May 13 – July 29, 2026
RCP · 2026-08-06
David J Wolfson
July 28–29, 2026 · n=988 LV · MoE ±3%
Sponsor: Collins campaign (internal)
Wikipedia · 2026-07-29
Quantus Insights (R)
July 27–29, 2026 · n=635 LV · MoE ±4.1%
Wikipedia · 2026-07-29
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
July 14–16, 2026 · n=400 LV
Sponsor: Donalds campaign (internal)
Wikipedia · 2026-07-16
Cygnal (R)
July 12–13, 2026 · n=500 LV · MoE ±4.4%
Wikipedia · 2026-07-13

Prediction market odds?

Live
Polymarket · 2026-08-09
Byron Donalds98.3%
James Fishback1.1%
Jay Collins<1%
Wilton Simpson<1%
Casey DeSantis<1%
Jimmy Patronis<1%
Matt Gaetz<1%

Not a poll and not a vote. Markets resolve to the official primary winner. Site refresh cycle: about every minute.

Vote count?

Early voting
FL DOS
Results after 7:00 PM ET · Aug 18

Live tallies will fill in when the Florida Division of Elections and county supervisors publish unofficial results.

Primary Day: Aug 18, 2026. Early voting ran Aug 3–16 in most counties. Closed primary — Republican ballot only.

Open Florida Division of Elections ↗

Public polls?

No public polls loaded for this race

District and lower-profile primaries often go unpolled. Statewide races (Governor, Senate) get most of the survey attention.

When might polls appear?

If a pollster releases a survey, we add it on the next 1-minute data cycle. Until then, use candidate lists, prediction markets (when listed), and official results after polls close Aug 18 at 7:00 PM ET.

Prediction market odds?

No numbers

No public prediction market listed yet

Polymarket (and similar platforms) do not currently list a dedicated Republican-primary winner market for U.S. Senate (Special) — Republican Primary. Statewide races sometimes get markets late or only for the general election.

When might odds be available?

Often closer to Primary Day (Aug 18) or after a clear frontrunner narrative. We re-check about every minute.

Last checked: Aug 9, 1:11 AM·Re-check about every minute
Browse Polymarket Florida ↗

Vote count?

Early voting
FL DOS
Results after 7:00 PM ET · Aug 18

Live tallies will fill in when the Florida Division of Elections and county supervisors publish unofficial results.

Primary Day: Tuesday, August 18, 2026. Polls open 7:00 AM–7:00 PM ET. Florida is a closed primary — only registered Republicans vote in these races.

Open Florida Division of Elections ↗

Public polls?

No public polls loaded for this race

District and lower-profile primaries often go unpolled. Statewide races (Governor, Senate) get most of the survey attention.

When might polls appear?

If a pollster releases a survey, we add it on the next 1-minute data cycle. Until then, use candidate lists, prediction markets (when listed), and official results after polls close Aug 18 at 7:00 PM ET.

Prediction market odds?

No numbers

No prediction market for this district

U.S. House district primaries (FL-02) rarely have liquid prediction markets. Traders focus on governor/senate and national control markets. We still track candidates, polls when published, and official vote counts.

When might odds be available?

Odds appear only if a market is created on Polymarket (uncommon for House). Polls may appear if a pollster releases a district survey. Vote tallies go live after 7:00 PM ET on Aug 18.

Last checked: Aug 9, 1:11 AM·Re-check about every minute
Browse Polymarket Florida ↗

Vote count?

Early voting
FL DOS
Results after 7:00 PM ET · Aug 18

Live tallies will fill in when the Florida Division of Elections and county supervisors publish unofficial results.

Primary Day: Tuesday, August 18, 2026. Polls open 7:00 AM–7:00 PM ET. Florida is a closed primary — only registered Republicans vote in these races.

Open Florida Division of Elections ↗

Public polls?

No public polls loaded for this race

District and lower-profile primaries often go unpolled. Statewide races (Governor, Senate) get most of the survey attention.

When might polls appear?

If a pollster releases a survey, we add it on the next 1-minute data cycle. Until then, use candidate lists, prediction markets (when listed), and official results after polls close Aug 18 at 7:00 PM ET.

Prediction market odds?

No numbers

No prediction market for this district

U.S. House district primaries (FL-06) rarely have liquid prediction markets. Traders focus on governor/senate and national control markets. We still track candidates, polls when published, and official vote counts.

When might odds be available?

Odds appear only if a market is created on Polymarket (uncommon for House). Polls may appear if a pollster releases a district survey. Vote tallies go live after 7:00 PM ET on Aug 18.

Last checked: Aug 9, 1:11 AM·Re-check about every minute
Browse Polymarket Florida ↗

Vote count?

Early voting
FL DOS
Results after 7:00 PM ET · Aug 18

Live tallies will fill in when the Florida Division of Elections and county supervisors publish unofficial results.

Primary Day: Tuesday, August 18, 2026. Polls open 7:00 AM–7:00 PM ET. Florida is a closed primary — only registered Republicans vote in these races.

Open Florida Division of Elections ↗

Public polls?

No public polls loaded for this race

District and lower-profile primaries often go unpolled. Statewide races (Governor, Senate) get most of the survey attention.

When might polls appear?

If a pollster releases a survey, we add it on the next 1-minute data cycle. Until then, use candidate lists, prediction markets (when listed), and official results after polls close Aug 18 at 7:00 PM ET.

Prediction market odds?

No numbers

No prediction market for this district

U.S. House district primaries (FL-09) rarely have liquid prediction markets. Traders focus on governor/senate and national control markets. We still track candidates, polls when published, and official vote counts.

When might odds be available?

Odds appear only if a market is created on Polymarket (uncommon for House). Polls may appear if a pollster releases a district survey. Vote tallies go live after 7:00 PM ET on Aug 18.

Last checked: Aug 9, 1:11 AM·Re-check about every minute
Browse Polymarket Florida ↗

Vote count?

Early voting
FL DOS
Results after 7:00 PM ET · Aug 18

Live tallies will fill in when the Florida Division of Elections and county supervisors publish unofficial results.

Primary Day: Tuesday, August 18, 2026. Polls open 7:00 AM–7:00 PM ET. Florida is a closed primary — only registered Republicans vote in these races.

Open Florida Division of Elections ↗

Public polls?

No public polls loaded for this race

District and lower-profile primaries often go unpolled. Statewide races (Governor, Senate) get most of the survey attention.

When might polls appear?

If a pollster releases a survey, we add it on the next 1-minute data cycle. Until then, use candidate lists, prediction markets (when listed), and official results after polls close Aug 18 at 7:00 PM ET.

Prediction market odds?

No numbers

No prediction market for this district

U.S. House district primaries (FL-11) rarely have liquid prediction markets. Traders focus on governor/senate and national control markets. We still track candidates, polls when published, and official vote counts.

When might odds be available?

Odds appear only if a market is created on Polymarket (uncommon for House). Polls may appear if a pollster releases a district survey. Vote tallies go live after 7:00 PM ET on Aug 18.

Last checked: Aug 9, 1:11 AM·Re-check about every minute
Browse Polymarket Florida ↗

Vote count?

Early voting
FL DOS
Results after 7:00 PM ET · Aug 18

Live tallies will fill in when the Florida Division of Elections and county supervisors publish unofficial results.

Primary Day: Tuesday, August 18, 2026. Polls open 7:00 AM–7:00 PM ET. Florida is a closed primary — only registered Republicans vote in these races.

Open Florida Division of Elections ↗

Public polls?

No public polls loaded for this race

District and lower-profile primaries often go unpolled. Statewide races (Governor, Senate) get most of the survey attention.

When might polls appear?

If a pollster releases a survey, we add it on the next 1-minute data cycle. Until then, use candidate lists, prediction markets (when listed), and official results after polls close Aug 18 at 7:00 PM ET.

Prediction market odds?

No numbers

No prediction market for this district

U.S. House district primaries (FL-14) rarely have liquid prediction markets. Traders focus on governor/senate and national control markets. We still track candidates, polls when published, and official vote counts.

When might odds be available?

Odds appear only if a market is created on Polymarket (uncommon for House). Polls may appear if a pollster releases a district survey. Vote tallies go live after 7:00 PM ET on Aug 18.

Last checked: Aug 9, 1:11 AM·Re-check about every minute
Browse Polymarket Florida ↗

Vote count?

Early voting
FL DOS
Results after 7:00 PM ET · Aug 18

Live tallies will fill in when the Florida Division of Elections and county supervisors publish unofficial results.

Primary Day: Tuesday, August 18, 2026. Polls open 7:00 AM–7:00 PM ET. Florida is a closed primary — only registered Republicans vote in these races.

Open Florida Division of Elections ↗