Byron Donalds (R)REP72.5%
David Jolly (D)DEM27.5%
Who wins Florida governor Nov 3, 2026 — Byron Donalds (R) vs David Jolly (D).
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Polymarket · real money
Florida prediction markets
Live trader odds for Governor, Senate, House, and ballot measures. Each card is shareable — Facebook/iMessage get an odds preview. Not a scientific poll.
Data cycle: ~1 min·Updated Syncing…·Next —
Markets
29
Live
29
Combined volume
$1.13M
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Governor
Donalds 3-6%REP25.0%
Donalds 6-9%REP23.5%
Donalds 0-3%REP19.5%
Jolly 0-3%DEM18.0%
Donalds 9-12%REP6.5%
Jolly 6%+DEM5.8%
Predicted winning margin in the Florida governor general election.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
U.S. Senate
Ashley Moody (R)REP91.5%
Angie Nixon (D)DEM8.5%
Special U.S. Senate race — Ashley Moody (R) vs Angie Nixon (D) to finish Rubio’s term.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Moody 3-6%REP25.0%
Moody 6-9%REP23.5%
Moody 0-3%REP14.4%
Moody 9-12%REP14.0%
Nixon 0-3%DEM12.2%
Moody 12-15%REP8.1%
Predicted winning margin in the Florida U.S. Senate special election.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Ballot measures
Ballot measuresLive $$2K vol
Property-tax amendmentWill FL "Save Our Homes" property-tax referendum pass?
Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?34.5%
November 2026 Florida property-tax / homestead-related referendum — markets price yes/no (state amendments need 60% yes).
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Statewide
618.0%
1115.5%
715.0%
1013.3%
12+12.5%
412.4%
Total U.S. House seats Democrats are priced to win in Florida in 2026.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
7.75M-8M34.2%
8M-8.25M21.5%
8.25M-8.5M21.5%
7.5M-7.75M20.9%
8.75M-9M15.8%
9M+5.3%
Predicted total turnout band for the Florida Senate special.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
U.S. House
Kathy Castor (D)DEM66.0%
Mike Beltran (R)REP32.0%
Tampa Bay FL-14 — party winner market (Castor district dynamics).
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Casey Askar (R)REP52.5%
Pia Dandiya (D)DEM46.5%
South Florida FL-22 party-control market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Dan Green (R)REP68.5%
Darren Soto (D)DEM31.5%
Central Florida FL-09 — Soto seat after redistricting.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Ryan Elijah (R)REP67.5%
Bale Dalton (D)DEM33.5%
FL-07 general election — party winner market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
María Elvira Salazar (R)REP66.5%
Eliott Rodriguez (D)DEM34.5%
Miami-area FL-27 party winner market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)DEM95.0%
Brent Andersen (R)REP3.6%
FL-20 House general election party market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Jimmy Patronis (R)REP95.5%
Gay Valimont (D)DEM3.5%
Panhandle FL-01 — Patronis seat.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Randy Fine (R)REP95.0%
Eric Yonce (D)DEM5.5%
FL-06 House general — Fine district.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Gus Bilirakis (R)REP86.5%
Kimberly Overman (D)DEM9.5%
FL-12 House party winner market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Mario Díaz-Balart (R)REP90.5%
Nicole Locklin (D)DEM9.5%
FL-26 House party winner market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Kat Cammack (R)REP93.5%
Seth Harp (D)DEM6.0%
FL-03 House party winner market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Oliver Gilbert (D)DEM96.0%
Te Mayonna Brown (R)REP2.2%
FL-24 House party winner market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Aaron Bean (R)REP87.5%
LaShonda Holloway (D)DEM11.5%
FL-04 House party winner market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Mike Haridopolos (R)REP96.3%
Jennifer Jenkins (D)DEM3.8%
FL-08 House party winner market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Sydney Gruters (R)REP83.0%
Kelly Kirschner (D)DEM18.0%
FL-16 House party winner market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Jared Moskowitz (D)DEM68.5%
Scott Singer (R)REP32.0%
FL-25 House party winner market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Joe Strada (R)REP87.5%
James Pericola (D)DEM12.5%
FL-11 open-seat party market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Jim Schwartzel (R)REP94.5%
Victor Arias (D)DEM5.5%
FL-19 (Donalds’ former seat) party market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Laurel Lee (R)REP92.9%
Robert People (D)DEM7.2%
FL-15 House party winner market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Brian Mast (R)REP90.5%
James Martin (D)DEM9.6%
FL-21 House party winner market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Austin Rogers (R)REP89.5%
Amanda Green (D)DEM8.5%
FL-02 open seat party market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Anna Paulina Luna (R)REP69.5%
Leela Gray (D)DEM29.0%
FL-13 House party winner market.
Share this market
Share this page
In fullscreen, we copy instead of opening a new tab
Also: Governor H2H · Odds alerts · Print checklist